Academy of Finland  
Funding decision
Organisation University of Helsinki
Project title Quantifying controls on the intensity, variability and impacts of extreme European STORMS
Applicant / Contact person Sinclair, Victoria
Decision No. 338615
Decision date 03.06.2021
Funding period 01.09.2021 - 31.08.2025
Funding 455 696
Project description
Large-scale mid-latitude storms are studied as their strong winds and heavy rain can cause damage, injuries and even death. Our understanding of what controls the strength and impacts of these storms is incomplete and because of this we have little confidence in how these storms and their impacts will change in the future. We use a numerical model, OpenIFS, to simulate thousands of idealized storms, each of which develops in a different environment. We systematically change the environment (e.g. mean temperature) by varying many variables at once as this is what climate models predict will happen in the future. The strength of the storms is measured by meteorological variables and in terms of impacts. We also use reanalysis data to relate these results to real, observed storms. Teaching material and tools to assist weather forecasters are also created. The research is performed in INAR at the University of Helsinki.