Academy of Finland  
Funding decision
Applicant / Contact person Hjort, Jan
Organisation University of Oulu
Project title Spatial ensemble prediction of permafrost thaw, soil carbon and ground-ice in the Arctic (ArcticSHOC)
Decision No. 315519
Decision date 18.06.2018
Funding period 01.09.2018 - 31.08.2022
Funding 378 354
Project description
Arctic natural systems are undergoing unprecedented changes, with permafrost thaw as one of the most striking impacts. The ArcticSHOC project will provide spatial predictions of Arctic earth surface systems under climate change. The main objectives are to: (i) investigate the environmental drivers of near-surface permafrost, (ii) forecast spatial patterns of current, past, and future permafrost across the Northern Hemisphere, and (iii) identify the most potential remobilization sites of Arctic soil organic carbon in the face of climate warming. The ArcticSHOC is based on a unique set of field and geospatial environmental data, and cutting-edge ensemble modelling methodology. The results of this project will provide new information on geomorphological and biogeochemical systems in the Arctic.